Oil & gas versus renewables: A tale of two conferences
They couldn't have been more different
By Michele AshbyI attended two energy investor conferences in the last couple of weeks. The first was a renewable energy forum in Toronto, and the following week I was in New York for an oil and gas conference. The two conferences could not have been more different – in the challenges discussed, in investor confidence, and even in the mood of the attendees. And these differences provide great insight into the current energy market.
Let’s start with the oil and gas conference. For starters, the conference was 10 times the size of the renewable energy meeting. Conference organizers said it was the highest turnout in the 17-year history of the event. Over three days, more than 100 companies presented, and nearly every presentation I attended was packed. Investors were falling over themselves to learn about new discoveries, production and domestic reserve levels.
Companies were beaming with optimism. Investors were bullish. And why not? Oil is above $100 per barrel. As the recession continues to melt away, demand will only continue to rise – and it might spike faster than we can imagine. When you add emerging economies like Brazil and South Africa to an already-oil-thirsty China and a resurgent world economy, demand isn’t coming down. And supply? The uncertainty in some of the globe’s most valuable oil-producing districts hasn’t subsided.
Overheated? Maybe. But most of the attendees at the renewable energy conference in Toronto would trade their challenges in a heartbeat for this problem.
In Toronto, the mood was completely different. There are many questions, and many issues. We talked about subsidies, and how long it might take for renewables to be able to crawl, walk and run by themselves. We talked about how industry can convince regulators to put together attractive packages and nurture local renewable energy companies.
The biggest challenge, of course, is that public concern for greenhouse gases has taken a big hit in the last few years, as Americans instead worried about losing their houses or their jobs. And we know that if politicians aren’t feeling the heat from their constituents on renewable energy, most won’t make it a priority.
It was striking to me how few companies presented at the conference, however. Primarily, the speakers were political, legal, accounting or financial experts discussing the nuances of making investments in renewables. But I wanted to hear more from companies in the industry. What do you need, in specifics, to succeed? We hear investors talking all the time about payback periods being too long: What specifically do you need to cut that period in half? To drive a greater return on an investor’s money?
The other point I noted was that most renewable companies lack sophistication when it comes to structuring their deals and presenting to investors. Mining-industry companies are doubling and tripling their marketing and travel budgets right now. Renewable companies are lucky if they have any budget at all for these luxuries.
Particularly when facing the massive competition from the scorching-hot oil and gas sector, renewable companies need to be at the top of their game. Talk to experts about putting together deals that are attractive to potential investors. Work on your presentation, get critiqued, and keep working on it until it’s perfect.
Renewable energy companies need to exploit every advantage they can think of when they’re competing with much hotter energy markets. Oil and gas look good right now, but we’ve seen this before. Renewable energy companies, you’ve got the solution in the longer term. But it’s going to be up to you to make that case.
About Michele Ashby
Michele Ashby is the CEO of MiNE LLC, which is hosting the Modern Energy Investor Forum (MEIF) in September 2011 in Denver, Colorado. The Modern Energy Investor Forum is the premier invitation-only conference for clean technology firms and investors. For more information or to register for the MEIF, please go to www.MiNELLC.com or call (303) 377-6463.



Readers Respond
Not a surprise to learn about this stark contrast. Should anyone wish to understand the very fundamental reasons why there is this difference in “energy levels” between the oil and gas industry and the RE industry, read “Power Hungry” by Robert Bryce for a very donw-to-earth assessment of what the future of global energy is for the next few decades.
http://www.amazon.com/Power-Hungry-Myths-Energy-Future/dp/1586487892
By Graham Russell on 2011 05 12